Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Bordeaux
27.8%
Draw
23.4%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Bordeaux
vs
0.74
Bastia
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).