⚽ FootballData
4 – 4
DHT: 42CSV

29 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
61.0%
FC Koln
23.0%
Draw
16.0%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

FC Koln

vs
0.93

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).