Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Kocaelispor
38.1%
Draw
37.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Kocaelispor
vs
1.08
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
1-1
16.6%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).