Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Lorient
19.5%
Draw
14.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Lorient
vs
0.75
Lens
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).