Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.1%
Draw
31.7%
Hansa Rostock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.13
Hansa Rostock
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).