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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.1%
Athletic Newham
19.8%
Draw
62.0%
Faversham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Athletic Newham

vs
2.09

Faversham Town

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).