Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Benevento
28.7%
Draw
25.8%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Benevento
vs
1.05
Crotone
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).