Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Metz
16.3%
Draw
13.6%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Metz
vs
0.92
Clermont
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).