Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Sunderland
32.8%
Draw
21.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Sunderland
vs
0.70
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).