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DHT: 11CSV

26 Apr 2024 · 20:00

Nantes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Montpellier
26.4%
Draw
49.5%
Nantes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Montpellier

vs
1.36

Nantes

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).