Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Osasuna
28.1%
Draw
32.3%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Osasuna
vs
1.13
Celta
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).