Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Boston Utd
24.6%
Draw
44.3%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Boston Utd
vs
1.78
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).