Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Nantes
25.3%
Draw
45.2%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Nantes
vs
1.40
Brest
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).