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25 Jul 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.5%
Krylya Sovetov
28.2%
Draw
20.3%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Krylya Sovetov

vs
0.90

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).