Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Leeds
25.9%
Draw
49.8%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Leeds
vs
1.82
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).