Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Maritimo
23.9%
Draw
55.6%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Maritimo
vs
1.61
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).