Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.5%
Cardiff
15.2%
Draw
12.3%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Cardiff
vs
0.91
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).