Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Maidenhead
25.2%
Draw
22.2%
Fylde
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Maidenhead
vs
1.08
Fylde
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).