Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Atalanta
29.2%
Draw
33.6%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Atalanta
vs
1.03
Roma
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).