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AHT: 02CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Peterboro
25.3%
Draw
47.0%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Peterboro

vs
1.36

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).