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10 Mar 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Le Havre
29.2%
Draw
44.1%
Toulouse

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Le Havre

vs
1.19

Toulouse

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).