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22 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
WSG Tirol
25.5%
Draw
45.8%
Salzburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

WSG Tirol

vs
1.69

Salzburg

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).