Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Nantes
23.3%
Draw
14.2%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Nantes
vs
0.63
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).