Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Spezia
32.7%
Draw
33.4%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Spezia
vs
1.04
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).