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AHT: 01CSV

17 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.8%
Eibar
19.4%
Draw
65.7%
Barcelona

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Eibar

vs
2.21

Barcelona

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).