Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.1%
Bayern Munich
6.9%
Draw
3.0%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
3.92
Bayern Munich
vs
0.75
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.594.9%
Over 2.584.4%
Over 3.568.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-0
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-1
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
1-0
3.5%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
2.6%
4-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).