Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Albacete
24.2%
Draw
43.5%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Albacete
vs
1.59
Santander
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).