Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Fakel
28.2%
Draw
60.1%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Fakel
vs
1.51
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.3%
0-2
14.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-4
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
2-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).