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HHT: 10CSV

12 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Torquay
26.4%
Draw
23.3%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Torquay

vs
1.06

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).