Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.6%
Inter
5.3%
Draw
2.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
3.88
Inter
vs
0.54
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.564.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.7%
4-0
11.4%
2-0
9.0%
5-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
1-1
2.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).