Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Barnet
25.0%
Draw
14.8%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Barnet
vs
0.59
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).