Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Grimsby
28.5%
Draw
30.8%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Grimsby
vs
0.97
Accrington
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).