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21 Mar 2021 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Antalyaspor
37.3%
Draw
35.0%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Antalyaspor

vs
1.08

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
16.6%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).