Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
GAIS
29.5%
Draw
42.6%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
GAIS
vs
1.39
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).