Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Doncaster
22.6%
Draw
19.9%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Doncaster
vs
0.90
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).