Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.9%
Cadiz
19.8%
Draw
71.3%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Cadiz
vs
1.96
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-2
15.9%
0-3
10.4%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).