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08 Feb 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Bradford
20.9%
Draw
11.5%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Bradford

vs
0.57

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS36.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.1%
2-0
15.1%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).