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DHT: 01CSV

01 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
St Truiden
24.9%
Draw
30.9%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

St Truiden

vs
1.38

Genk

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).