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03 May 2026 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.6%
Hammarby
22.4%
Draw
11.0%
Västerås SK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Hammarby

vs
0.68

Västerås SK

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).