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AHT: 01

27 Sept 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Sivasspor
25.4%
Draw
56.7%
İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Sivasspor

vs
2.10

İstanbul Başakşehir

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
0-3
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.6%
0-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).