Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Charlton
34.1%
Draw
34.4%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Charlton
vs
0.98
Swansea
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).