Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Vizela
23.6%
Draw
31.0%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Vizela
vs
1.27
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).