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AHT: 00CSV

03 Sept 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Bochum
27.4%
Draw
40.9%
Werder Bremen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Bochum

vs
1.44

Werder Bremen

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).