Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Aris
30.3%
Draw
14.9%
Athens Kallithea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Aris
vs
0.58
Athens Kallithea
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
15.5%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).