Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Reggiana
30.8%
Draw
24.8%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Reggiana
vs
0.91
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).