Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Barnsley
15.9%
Draw
17.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Barnsley
vs
1.29
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).