Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Albacete
29.0%
Draw
18.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Albacete
vs
0.63
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).