Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Ibiza
26.2%
Draw
51.0%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Ibiza
vs
1.47
Girona
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).