Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Sp Gijon
23.8%
Draw
19.5%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Sp Gijon
vs
0.88
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).