Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Bury
22.8%
Draw
11.6%
Exmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Bury
vs
0.53
Exmouth
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
15.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).